Long-run Behaviour of Long-term Sovereign Bond Yields

نویسندگان

  • António Afonso
  • Christophe Rault
چکیده

This study assesses the long-run behaviour of long-term sovereign bond yields in OECD countries, for the period 1973-2008. We employ a dynamic panel approach, to reflect financial and economic integration, and to increase the performance and accuracy of the tests. Given the existence of cross-country dependence regarding the sovereign bond segment of the financial markets and its determinants, we resort to simulation and bootstrap methods for the analysis. Results show that in addition to credit and liquidity risk, and common movements in sovereign yields, investors also consider country differences arising from specific factors (inflation, budgetary and current account imbalances, and real effective exchange rates).

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تاریخ انتشار 2010